August 23, 2024

After the AI Hype: What Comes Next (and What Actually Matters)

Over the last few years, artificial intelligence has gone from niche curiosity to global headline. Capital has flooded into the space. Corporate strategies, board decks, and startup pitches have all wrapped themselves around AI as the growth story.

After the AI Hype: What Comes Next (and What Actually Matters)

Over the last few years, artificial intelligence has gone from niche curiosity to global headline. Capital has flooded into the space. Corporate strategies, board decks, and startup pitches have all wrapped themselves around AI as the growth story.

And if you look at where private investment has been going, it’s clear: we’ve been living through an AI super-cycle.

But as with every major technology wave, there’s a difference between hype-driven speculation and real, durable value. At Big Room Tech, we work with companies who are trying to build the latter — and it’s increasingly obvious that we are moving toward the next phase of this cycle.

Not the end of AI.


But the end of AI as a magical, undefined growth story.

The AI Hype Cycle Is Maturing

Over the last two years, we’ve seen:

  • Massive capital investment into AI infrastructure and model development
  • Rapid model improvements and new releases landing in quick succession
  • A wave of pilots, prototypes, and “AI features” across enterprise and SaaS

Some of this has produced meaningful results. A lot of it hasn’t.

Many organisations are discovering that:

  • AI pilots don’t automatically translate into productivity gains
  • Generative models can be powerful but also fragile and error-prone
  • The cost of compute, integration, and change management is non-trivial
  • Monetisation is harder than “add AI, add price increase”

In other words: AI is not a cheat code. It’s a powerful technology that still has to sit inside real business models, real operational constraints, and real customer needs.

As model performance gains begin to flatten and the gap between expectation and reality becomes visible, some parts of the market will inevitably re-rate. That’s normal. It’s what happens when a technology moves from myth to infrastructure.

Why “The Next Big Thing” Won’t Save Bad Strategy

Whenever one wave matures, another narrative quickly emerges.

Right now, that candidate is quantum computing. It’s an exciting field with genuine long-term potential in very specific problem spaces: complex optimisation, cryptography, certain types of scientific simulation, and so on.

But we’re already seeing early signs of a familiar pattern:

  • Huge expectations for what quantum might do for AI
  • Big numbers being thrown around in fundraising and valuations
  • A narrative that “this next thing will fix the limitations of the last thing”

At Big Room Tech, we’re optimistic about deep tech — but we’re also pragmatic.

Quantum computing is still early, specialised, and heavily constrained. It may transform certain sectors over time, but it won’t magically fix the underlying issues that many AI programmes are facing today: unclear use cases, weak integration, unrealistic timelines, and a mismatch between promises and actual value.

Chasing the next acronym or wave doesn’t compensate for the absence of:

  • Clear, testable business hypotheses
  • Operational readiness
  • Data quality and governance
  • Sensible risk management
  • Real customer demand

Whatever the next hype cycle looks like, the fundamentals remain the same.

What This Means for Leaders and Builders

So if AI is moving past the “everything is possible” phase, and quantum (or whatever comes next) is still a long way from broad commercial deployment, what should leadership teams do now?

1. Treat AI as a Long-Term Capability, Not a Short-Term Bet

AI is not going away. It will increasingly be baked into:

  • Productivity tools
  • Infrastructure and platforms
  • Customer-facing products and experiences

The question is not “Is AI over?” It’s:

“Where does AI genuinely create leverage in our business, and how do we build capability around that?”

That means focusing on specific problems and clear outcomes rather than chasing generic “AI transformation”.

2. Focus on Sustainable Value Over Speculation

Instead of asking, “How do we keep up with the next big narrative?”, ask:

  • Where can we reduce friction for customers?
  • Where can we make better decisions with the data we already have?
  • Where can we free up people from low-leverage work to focus on higher-value activity?

The companies that come out ahead will be the ones that quietly build robust, AI-enhanced workflows and products, not necessarily the ones shouting loudest about model sizes.

3. Build Adaptable Strategies, Not Fixed Stories

One of the big lessons from the last decade of tech cycles is that rigid narratives age badly.

If your entire value proposition is anchored to a single buzzword, you will need to rebrand every time the market mood changes.

Instead:

  • Anchor your brand and strategy around enduring customer outcomes
  • Treat technologies (AI, quantum, etc.) as means, not ends
  • Maintain room to adapt your positioning as the technology stack evolves

This is exactly the kind of flexible brand and product architecture we encourage clients to build — it’s cheaper and less painful to adjust over time than to rebuild every few years.

4. Watch the Infrastructure, Not Just the Headlines

Hype cycles tend to fixate on front-stage announcements: new models, new breakthroughs, big demo moments.

But real, sustainable change happens in the infrastructure layer:

  • Standards and interoperability
  • Tooling, governance, and monitoring
  • Integration into existing systems
  • Developer experience and reliability

If you want to understand where a technology truly is on its maturity curve, look at how boring it has become. The more it quietly powers real systems in the background, the less you need the hype.

Big Room Tech’s View: Build Beyond the Bubble

At Big Room Tech, we’re not anti-AI, anti-quantum, or anti-hype. Hype serves a purpose: it mobilises capital, talent, and attention. Many important technologies would never have been funded if everyone had been purely rational.

But our job is to help companies navigate through hype, not be driven by it.

Our work with clients focuses on:

  • Strategy – Where does AI (or any emerging technology) actually fit into your long-term vision?
  • Product – How do we build and test real propositions, not just attach “AI” to the landing page?
  • Execution – How do we assemble teams and partners to deliver reliably, not just impress in slide decks?

We care less about whether we’re in an “AI bubble” or a “quantum bubble” and more about whether our clients are:

  • Making thoughtful, staged investments
  • Building capabilities that will still matter in 3–5 years
  • Avoiding overexposure to any single speculative narrative

The Opportunity After the Hype

Every time a hype cycle cools, something interesting happens: the noise drops, and the builders who were focused on fundamentals are still standing.

They have:

  • Real products
  • Real customers
  • Real operational capability

Meanwhile, capital becomes more discerning, talent becomes more focused, and the market starts rewarding genuine value over theatrics.

That’s the phase we’re interested in.

AI will mature. Quantum and other deep technologies will progress at their own pace. There will be more cycles, more narratives, more “next big things”.

But if you build with discipline — clear strategy, adaptable positioning, and a focus on real outcomes — you don’t need to predict every bubble. You just need to avoid betting your entire future on one.

And that’s where we like to sit: quietly helping teams build technology businesses that outlast the hype.